Odious Debt, the CBO’s Grim Forecast, and Why the Pain Is the Point
Let’s start with the raw truth: America is not in a soft landing. It’s in a silent crash. And the Congressional Budget Office just confirmed what we’ve been screaming for years—the empire is bloated, the people are broke, and the hangover is going to hurt like hell.
The CBO’s 2025 projections aren’t forecasts. They’re confessions.
Reality Check: CBO’s 2025 Outlook in Plain English
- Projected U.S. Debt (2025): $36.2 trillion—on pace to exceed the size of the entire U.S. economy.
- Annual Interest Payments: $1.2 trillion, more than the U.S. spends on defense.
- Deficit: Over $2 trillion annually—even without a war, a pandemic, or a new crisis.
- GDP Growth: 1.7%, flatlined productivity, and no real plan to fix it.
- Inflation: Projected at 2%, while essentials like food and utilities feel like paying a second rent check.
- AI & Crypto: Downgraded as low-impact over the next decade by the very institutions who once celebrated them as economic saviors.
This isn’t a cycle. This is a reckoning.
The Doctrine of Odious Debt: Why You’re on the Hook
There’s a legal doctrine in international finance known as Odious Debt. It says if a government borrows money and spends it in ways that benefit the people, even if the people never voted for it, the people still owe the bill. If the citizens ate from the pot, they’re on the hook when it boils over.
That’s what happened in Argentina. When the IMF came calling and the courts weighed the debt burden, the people tried to protest: “That was government corruption! That was stolen money!” But the verdict was simple: Did you benefit?
Did the subsidies feed you? Did the programs comfort you? Did the bloated system cover your healthcare, your job, your child’s school? Then congratulations—you owe.
And that’s where we are now in America.
The debt isn’t just Washington’s. It’s yours. It’s in your groceries, your car loan, your subsidized life. You were fed cheap credit, cheap imports, cheap everything—and now the bill is due.
And it’s going to be collected one of three ways:
- Higher taxes (on you).
- Higher prices (on everything).
- Higher interest rates (on your kids, your house, and your dreams).
There’s no soft landing when the jet fuel’s gone.
Trump’s “Economic Pain” Isn’t the Problem. It’s the Treatment.
While pundits cry over tariffs, Trump’s not hiding the pain. He’s warning you: withdrawal is part of the process. America’s economy has been a junkie—hooked on cheap labor, cheap energy, and debt-funded consumption.
We used to produce wealth. Now we consume it, vote for more of it, and call it freedom. But there’s nothing free about a nation that can’t survive without imports. Trump’s play is simple: force the detox now, so there’s something left to rebuild later.
The problem isn’t pain. The problem is pretending it won’t hurt.
What Comes Next? The Golden Age—But Only for the Prepared
If you think this is all doom, you missed the point.
This is the greatest wealth transfer of our lifetime. When the system cracks, the people holding real assets—commodities, land, supply chains—will walk into the next age with the power to write the rules.
GLion Trades was built for this moment.
While the average American argues over party politics, we trade in the one truth that doesn’t lie: global demand. We deal in what people can’t live without—food. We’ve taken the old-world commodity playbook, stripped it of bureaucracy, and handed it to the street soldier with the right mindset.
You don’t have to understand Argentina’s debt collapse. You just need to understand what happens when the bill comes due.
Because it’s here.
And while they’re still dancing in the dollar’s funeral parade, we’re stacking product and controlling flow like the sons of Rothschild and Cargill. We’re not betting on the storm—we are the ark.
There will be pain. There will be loss.
But for those holding the right assets… There will also be dominion.
This is the moment. If you’re still on the sidelines reading tea leaves, maybe you deserve to drown.
Everyone else? You know where to find us.
GLion Trades. We don’t guess. We eat.